Switzerland and the 2030 World Cup

Ranked 12th in the world, 7th in UEFA. 85.8% to qualify in our simulations.

Updated 22 October 2026

12thFIFA ranking, of 211

7thof 55 in UEFA

1725rating points

94 / 93attack / defence, out of 100

85.8%qualify (simulated)

Chances at the 2030 World Cup

Switzerland are strong favourites to qualify, doing so in 85.8% of simulated campaigns. The single most likely outcome is going out in the round of 32 (31.6% of cycles).

When they are at the finals, Switzerland get out of their group 94.8% of the time and win the tournament in 1.2% of all cycles.

A 64-team World Cup would change the picture: with the extra places the simulator assumes for that format, Switzerland qualify in 91.1% of campaigns instead of 85.8%.

Qualify85.8%
Round of 3281.3%
Round of 1649.8%
Quarter-finals24.8%
Semi-finals10.7%
Final3.8%
Champions1.2%

Share of 20,000 simulated cycles, from first qualifier to final, in which Switzerland got at least this far. How the simulation works · All 211 nations

The route to the finals

Europe's qualifying is played in twelve groups: each group winner qualifies, and the eight best runners-up play off for the last two places. Switzerland come in at the group stage.

There are 14 places for the 53 nations that have to qualify.

UEFA qualifying in full: format, what is official and every nation's odds.

How strong are they?

Switzerland have 1725.39 points in the FIFA ranking published on 7 October 2026, which places them 12th in the world and 7th of the 55 nations in Europe. The simulator uses that points total directly as the team's rating.

Their attack score is 94 and their defence score 93, on a scale of 1 to 100 built from the last 30 internationals. Attack and defence are closely matched, so the team's results follow its overall rating without leaning towards high- or low-scoring games.

What the match engine expects from Switzerland in three fixtures, over ninety minutes.
Opponent	Fixture	Expected goals	Win	Draw	Lose
Germany	At home to the next side in the UEFA ranking	1.60 – 1.25	44%	27%	29%
Spain	At home to UEFA's highest-ranked side	0.83 – 2.00	14%	23%	63%
Argentina	Against the top-ranked side from another confederation, on neutral ground	0.82 – 2.02	14%	23%	64%

Around them in UEFA

Switzerland and the nations ranked around them in UEFA.
In UEFA	Nation	FIFA rank	Points	Qualifies	Champion
4	Portugal Host	5	1808	100%	4.4%
5	Belgium	8	1779	88.7%	2.4%
6	Netherlands	9	1779	88.3%	2.1%
7	Switzerland	12	1725	85.8%	1.2%
8	Germany	13	1718	84.2%	1.0%
9	Croatia	14	1715	81.9%	0.7%
10	Italy	15	1713	82.4%	0.7%

Switzerland at the World Cup

13World Cups played

Quarter-finalsbest finish · 1934, 1938, 1954, 2026

2026last World Cup

They have played at 13 World Cups, the first in 1934 and the most recent in 2026. Their best finish is the quarter-finals, in 1934, 1938, 1954 and 2026.

At the 2026 World Cup they reached the quarter-finals, with 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in 6 matches (goals 10–6). Before the tournament, the 2026 simulator had them reaching the quarter-finals in 23.8% of 50,000 simulated tournaments. How the simulator's numbers compared with the whole tournament.

Switzerland's matches at the 2026 World Cup. The last column is the 2026 simulator's chance, before the tournament, of the result that happened — in a knock-out match, of the side that went through doing so.
Date	Round	Opponent	Score	Chance beforehand
13 June	Group stage	Qatar	1–1	20%
18 June	Group stage	Bosnia and Herzegovina	4–1	72%
24 June	Group stage	Canada	2–1	51%
3 July	Round of 32	Algeria	2–0	62%
7 July	Round of 16	Colombia	0–0 (4–3 pens)	43%
12 July	Quarter-final	Argentina	1–3 (aet)	78%

Play it out: take Switzerland through Europe's qualifying, or change their rating in the team editor and see what it takes.

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