Germany and the 2030 World Cup

Chances at the 2030 World Cup

Germany are strong favourites to qualify, doing so in 84.2% of simulated campaigns. The single most likely outcome is going out in the round of 32 (32.8% of cycles).

When they are at the finals, Germany get out of their group 92.4% of the time and win the tournament in 1.0% of all cycles.

A 64-team World Cup would change the picture: with the extra places the simulator assumes for that format, Germany qualify in 90.3% of campaigns instead of 84.2%.

Share of 20,000 simulated cycles, from first qualifier to final, in which Germany got at least this far. How the simulation works · All 211 nations

The route to the finals

Europe's qualifying is played in twelve groups: each group winner qualifies, and the eight best runners-up play off for the last two places. Germany come in at the group stage.

There are 14 places for the 53 nations that have to qualify.

UEFA qualifying in full: format, what is official and every nation's odds.

How strong are they?

Germany have 1717.52 points in the FIFA ranking published on 7 October 2026, which places them 13th in the world and 8th of the 55 nations in Europe. The simulator uses that points total directly as the team's rating.

Their attack score is 94 and their defence score 84, on a scale of 1 to 100 built from the last 30 internationals. The scores describe a side that is better going forward than at the back, which in the model means higher-scoring games in both directions.

Around them in UEFA

Germany at the World Cup

They have played at 21 World Cups, the first in 1934 and the most recent in 2026. They have won it four times: 1954, 1974, 1990 and 2014. The figures include West Germany's, as FIFA counts them.

At the 2026 World Cup they reached the round of 32, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in 4 matches (goals 11–5). Before the tournament, the 2026 simulator had them reaching the round of 32 in 97.5% of 50,000 simulated tournaments. How the simulator's numbers compared with the whole tournament.