Bosnia and Herzegovina and the 2030 World Cup

Ranked 57th in the world, 28th in UEFA. 13.1% to qualify in our simulations.

Updated 22 October 2026

57thFIFA ranking, of 211

28thof 55 in UEFA

1429rating points

68 / 64attack / defence, out of 100

13.1%qualify (simulated)

Chances at the 2030 World Cup

Bosnia and Herzegovina qualify in 13.1% of simulated campaigns: outsiders, but with a route that opens up often enough to be worth playing for. The single most likely outcome is not qualifying (86.9% of cycles).

When they are at the finals, Bosnia and Herzegovina get out of their group 33.0% of the time; a quarter-final comes up in 0.2% of all cycles.

A 64-team World Cup would change the picture: with the extra places the simulator assumes for that format, Bosnia and Herzegovina qualify in 23.0% of campaigns instead of 13.1%.

Qualify13.1%
Round of 324.3%
Round of 160.8%
Quarter-finals0.2%
Semi-finals<0.1%
Final0%
Champions0%

Share of 20,000 simulated cycles, from first qualifier to final, in which Bosnia and Herzegovina got at least this far. How the simulation works · All 211 nations

The route to the finals

Europe's qualifying is played in twelve groups: each group winner qualifies, and the eight best runners-up play off for the last two places. Bosnia and Herzegovina come in at the group stage.

There are 14 places for the 53 nations that have to qualify.

UEFA qualifying in full: format, what is official and every nation's odds.

How strong are they?

Bosnia and Herzegovina have 1429.32 points in the FIFA ranking published on 7 October 2026, which places them 57th in the world and 28th of the 55 nations in Europe. The simulator uses that points total directly as the team's rating.

Their attack score is 68 and their defence score 64, on a scale of 1 to 100 built from the last 30 internationals. Attack and defence are closely matched, so the team's results follow its overall rating without leaning towards high- or low-scoring games.

What the match engine expects from Bosnia and Herzegovina in three fixtures, over ninety minutes.
Opponent	Fixture	Expected goals	Win	Draw	Lose
Romania	At home to the next side in the UEFA ranking	1.59 – 1.25	44%	27%	29%
Spain	At home to UEFA's highest-ranked side	0.30 – 2.49	3%	13%	84%
Argentina	Against the top-ranked side from another confederation, on neutral ground	0.30 – 2.50	3%	13%	84%

Around them in UEFA

Bosnia and Herzegovina and the nations ranked around them in UEFA.
In UEFA	Nation	FIFA rank	Points	Qualifies	Champion
25	Czechia	51	1457	16.9%	<0.1%
26	Slovenia	52	1452	17.8%	0%
27	Republic of Ireland	56	1439	14.7%	<0.1%
28	Bosnia and Herzegovina	57	1429	13.1%	0%
29	Romania	58	1429	11.6%	0%
30	Northern Ireland	64	1384	10.5%	0%
31	Albania	66	1376	8.6%	0%

Bosnia and Herzegovina at the World Cup

2World Cups played

Round of 32best finish · 2026

2026last World Cup

They have played at 2 World Cups, the first in 2014 and the most recent in 2026. Their best finish is the round of 32, in 2026.

At the 2026 World Cup they reached the round of 32, with 1 win, 1 draw and 2 defeats in 4 matches (goals 5–8). Before the tournament, the 2026 simulator had them reaching the round of 32 in 35.6% of 50,000 simulated tournaments. How the simulator's numbers compared with the whole tournament.

Bosnia and Herzegovina's matches at the 2026 World Cup. The last column is the 2026 simulator's chance, before the tournament, of the result that happened — in a knock-out match, of the side that went through doing so.
Date	Round	Opponent	Score	Chance beforehand
12 June	Group stage	Canada	1–1	21%
18 June	Group stage	Switzerland	1–4	72%
24 June	Group stage	Qatar	3–1	29%
2 July	Round of 32	USA	0–2	83%

Play it out: take Bosnia and Herzegovina through Europe's qualifying, or change their rating in the team editor and see what it takes.

Open the simulator