Algeria and the 2030 World Cup

Ranked 28th in the world, 4th in CAF. 82.0% to qualify in our simulations.

Updated 22 October 2026

28thFIFA ranking, of 211

4thof 54 in CAF

1575rating points

86 / 80attack / defence, out of 100

82.0%qualify (simulated)

Chances at the 2030 World Cup

Algeria are strong favourites to qualify, doing so in 82.0% of simulated campaigns. The single most likely outcome is going out in the round of 32 (37.2% of cycles).

When they are at the finals, Algeria get out of their group 72.2% of the time and win the tournament in 0.1% of all cycles.

A 64-team World Cup would change the picture: with the extra places the simulator assumes for that format, Algeria qualify in 86.2% of campaigns instead of 82.0%.

Qualify82.0%
Round of 3259.3%
Round of 1622.0%
Quarter-finals7.1%
Semi-finals2.0%
Final0.5%
Champions0.1%

Share of 20,000 simulated cycles, from first qualifier to final, in which Algeria got at least this far. How the simulation works · All 211 nations

The route to the finals

Africa's qualifying is played in eight groups: only the group winners qualify, and the four best runners-up play off for a place in the inter-confederation play-off. Algeria come in at the group stage.

There are 8 places for the 53 nations that have to qualify, plus one route through the inter-confederation play-off, where five teams from five confederations contest two more places on neutral ground. Algeria end up in that play-off in 7.1% of simulated campaigns.

CAF qualifying in full: format, what is official and every nation's odds.

How strong are they?

Algeria have 1574.77 points in the FIFA ranking published on 7 October 2026, which places them 28th in the world and 4th of the 54 nations in Africa. The simulator uses that points total directly as the team's rating.

Their attack score is 86 and their defence score 80, on a scale of 1 to 100 built from the last 30 internationals. Attack and defence are closely matched, so the team's results follow its overall rating without leaning towards high- or low-scoring games.

What the match engine expects from Algeria in three fixtures, over ninety minutes.
Opponent	Fixture	Expected goals	Win	Draw	Lose
Côte d'Ivoire	At home to the next side in the CAF ranking	1.53 – 1.25	42%	28%	30%
Morocco	At home to CAF's highest-ranked side	0.92 – 1.90	17%	24%	59%
Spain	Against the top-ranked side from another confederation, on neutral ground	0.35 – 2.33	4%	15%	81%

Around them in CAF

Algeria and the nations ranked around them in CAF.
In CAF	Nation	FIFA rank	Points	Qualifies	Champion
1	Morocco Host	7	1805	100%	3.5%
2	Senegal	18	1649	89.1%	0.4%
3	Egypt	25	1586	80.2%	<0.1%
4	Algeria	28	1575	82.0%	0.1%
5	Côte d'Ivoire	29	1569	80.7%	<0.1%
6	Nigeria	30	1568	80.4%	<0.1%
7	Congo DR	40	1506	69.2%	<0.1%

Algeria at the World Cup

5World Cups played

Round of 16best finish · 2014

2026last World Cup

They have played at 5 World Cups, the first in 1982 and the most recent in 2026. Their best finish is the round of 16, in 2014.

At the 2026 World Cup they reached the round of 32, with 1 win, 1 draw and 2 defeats in 4 matches (goals 5–9). Before the tournament, the 2026 simulator had them reaching the round of 32 in 70.4% of 50,000 simulated tournaments. How the simulator's numbers compared with the whole tournament.

Algeria's matches at the 2026 World Cup. The last column is the 2026 simulator's chance, before the tournament, of the result that happened — in a knock-out match, of the side that went through doing so.
Date	Round	Opponent	Score	Chance beforehand
17 June	Group stage	Argentina	0–3	75%
23 June	Group stage	Jordan	2–1	63%
28 June	Group stage	Austria	3–3	24%
3 July	Round of 32	Switzerland	0–2	62%

Play it out: take Algeria through Africa's qualifying, or change their rating in the team editor and see what it takes.

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