Paraguay and the 2030 World Cup

Ranked 33rd in the world, 6th in CONMEBOL. Already qualified.

Updated 22 October 2026

33rdFIFA ranking, of 211

6thof 10 in CONMEBOL

1552rating points

61 / 89attack / defence, out of 100

100%qualified as host

Chances at the 2030 World Cup

Paraguay qualify automatically as hosts of one of the three centenary matches, and open their World Cup at home in Asunción. The single most likely outcome is going out in the round of 32 (45.8% of cycles).

At the finals, Paraguay get out of their group 68.9% of the time and win the tournament in <0.1% of all cycles.

Qualify100%
Round of 3268.9%
Round of 1623.1%
Quarter-finals6.6%
Semi-finals1.7%
Final0.5%
Champions<0.1%

Share of 20,000 simulated cycles, from first qualifier to final, in which Paraguay got at least this far. How the simulation works · All 211 nations

How they got here

Paraguay have a place already, but South America's league is played by all ten nations and the simulator keeps them in it: their results count for everyone else, while they themselves cannot take one of the three qualifying places. At the finals they play their first group match at home in Asunción and the rest in the host countries, on neutral ground.

CONMEBOL qualifying in full: format, what is official and every nation's odds.

How strong are they?

Paraguay have 1552.30 points in the FIFA ranking published on 7 October 2026, which places them 33rd in the world and 6th of the 10 nations in South America. The simulator uses that points total directly as the team's rating.

Their attack score is 61 and their defence score 89, on a scale of 1 to 100 built from the last 30 internationals. The scores describe a side built on defence: fewer goals scored than its rating would suggest, and fewer conceded.

What the match engine expects from Paraguay in three fixtures, over ninety minutes.
Opponent	Fixture	Expected goals	Win	Draw	Lose
Venezuela	At home to the next side in the CONMEBOL ranking	1.68 – 0.97	52%	27%	21%
Argentina	At home to CONMEBOL's highest-ranked side	0.60 – 2.22	8%	19%	73%
Spain	Against the top-ranked side from another confederation, on neutral ground	0.31 – 2.30	4%	16%	81%

Around them in CONMEBOL

Paraguay and the nations ranked around them in CONMEBOL.
In CONMEBOL	Nation	FIFA rank	Points	Qualifies	Champion
3	Colombia	11	1736	99.6%	1.6%
4	Uruguay Centenary host	20	1636	100%	0.3%
5	Ecuador	24	1587	83.0%	0.1%
6	Paraguay Centenary host	33	1552	100%	<0.1%
7	Venezuela	49	1466	31.4%	0%
8	Chile	50	1459	28.3%	0%
9	Peru	53	1451	17.6%	0%

Paraguay at the World Cup

9World Cups played

Quarter-finalsbest finish · 2010

2026last World Cup

They have played at 9 World Cups, the first in 1930 and the most recent in 2026. Their best finish is the quarter-finals, in 2010.

At the 2026 World Cup they reached the round of 16, with 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in 5 matches (goals 3–6). Before the tournament, the 2026 simulator had them reaching the round of 16 in 14.6% of 50,000 simulated tournaments. How the simulator's numbers compared with the whole tournament.

Paraguay's matches at the 2026 World Cup. The last column is the 2026 simulator's chance, before the tournament, of the result that happened — in a knock-out match, of the side that went through doing so.
Date	Round	Opponent	Score	Chance beforehand
13 June	Group stage	USA	1–4	62%
20 June	Group stage	Türkiye	1–0	25%
26 June	Group stage	Australia	0–0	24%
29 June	Round of 32	Germany	1–1 (4–3 pens)	22%
4 July	Round of 16	France	0–1	87%

Play it out: take Paraguay through the finals, or change their rating in the team editor and see what it takes.

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