Curaçao and the 2030 World Cup

Chances at the 2030 World Cup

Curaçao qualify in 29.8% of simulated campaigns — less often than not, but well within reach. The single most likely outcome is not qualifying (70.2% of cycles).

When they are at the finals, Curaçao get out of their group 17.6% of the time; a quarter-final comes up in 0.1% of all cycles.

A 64-team World Cup would change the picture: with the extra places the simulator assumes for that format, Curaçao qualify in 61.3% of campaigns instead of 29.8%.

Share of 20,000 simulated cycles, from first qualifier to final, in which Curaçao got at least this far. How the simulation works · All 211 nations

The route to the finals

Qualifying in North and Central America and the Caribbean has three rounds: two-legged ties for the lowest-ranked nations, then six groups of four, then a final round of three groups from which the top two in each qualify. Curaçao come in at the second round, skipping the preliminary ties on the strength of their ranking.

There are 6 places for the 35 nations that have to qualify, plus one route through the inter-confederation play-off, where five teams from five confederations contest two more places on neutral ground. Curaçao end up in that play-off in 16.7% of simulated campaigns.

CONCACAF qualifying in full: format, what is official and every nation's odds.

How strong are they?

Curaçao have 1304.98 points in the FIFA ranking published on 7 October 2026, which places them 80th in the world and 8th of the 35 nations in North & Central America and the Caribbean. The simulator uses that points total directly as the team's rating.

Their attack score is 71 and their defence score 68, on a scale of 1 to 100 built from the last 30 internationals. Attack and defence are closely matched, so the team's results follow its overall rating without leaning towards high- or low-scoring games.

Around them in CONCACAF

Curaçao at the World Cup

They have played at one World Cup, in 2026. They have yet to get past the group stage.

At the 2026 World Cup they went out in the group stage, with 0 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in 3 matches (goals 1–9). Before the tournament, the 2026 simulator had them getting out of their group in 13.0% of 50,000 simulated tournaments. How the simulator's numbers compared with the whole tournament.