Austria and the 2030 World Cup

Ranked 22nd in the world, 13th in UEFA. 69.1% to qualify in our simulations.

Updated 22 October 2026

22ndFIFA ranking, of 211

13thof 55 in UEFA

1601rating points

89 / 63attack / defence, out of 100

69.1%qualify (simulated)

Chances at the 2030 World Cup

Austria qualify in 69.1% of simulated campaigns: more likely to be there than not, with little margin for a bad window. The single most likely outcome is going out in the round of 32 (32.9% of cycles).

When they are at the finals, Austria get out of their group 79.4% of the time and win the tournament in <0.1% of all cycles.

A 64-team World Cup would change the picture: with the extra places the simulator assumes for that format, Austria qualify in 80.2% of campaigns instead of 69.1%.

Qualify69.1%
Round of 3254.9%
Round of 1622.0%
Quarter-finals7.5%
Semi-finals2.1%
Final0.5%
Champions<0.1%

Share of 20,000 simulated cycles, from first qualifier to final, in which Austria got at least this far. How the simulation works · All 211 nations

The route to the finals

Europe's qualifying is played in twelve groups: each group winner qualifies, and the eight best runners-up play off for the last two places. Austria come in at the group stage.

There are 14 places for the 53 nations that have to qualify.

UEFA qualifying in full: format, what is official and every nation's odds.

How strong are they?

Austria have 1600.66 points in the FIFA ranking published on 7 October 2026, which places them 22nd in the world and 13th of the 55 nations in Europe. The simulator uses that points total directly as the team's rating.

Their attack score is 89 and their defence score 63, on a scale of 1 to 100 built from the last 30 internationals. The scores describe a side that is better going forward than at the back, which in the model means higher-scoring games in both directions.

What the match engine expects from Austria in three fixtures, over ninety minutes.
Opponent	Fixture	Expected goals	Win	Draw	Lose
Türkiye	At home to the next side in the UEFA ranking	1.74 – 1.22	48%	26%	26%
Spain	At home to UEFA's highest-ranked side	0.65 – 2.36	8%	18%	74%
Argentina	Against the top-ranked side from another confederation, on neutral ground	0.64 – 2.37	8%	18%	74%

Around them in UEFA

Austria and the nations ranked around them in UEFA.
In UEFA	Nation	FIFA rank	Points	Qualifies	Champion
10	Italy	15	1713	82.4%	0.7%
11	Norway	19	1638	75.5%	0.2%
12	Denmark	21	1620	74.5%	0.2%
13	Austria	22	1601	69.1%	<0.1%
14	Türkiye	31	1564	61.6%	<0.1%
15	Sweden	34	1544	34.2%	<0.1%
16	Russia	35	1537	36.9%	<0.1%

Austria at the World Cup

8World Cups played

Third placebest finish · 1954

2026last World Cup

They have played at 8 World Cups, the first in 1934 and the most recent in 2026. Their best finish is third place, in 1954.

At the 2026 World Cup they reached the round of 32, with 1 win, 1 draw and 2 defeats in 4 matches (goals 6–9). Before the tournament, the 2026 simulator had them reaching the round of 32 in 76.1% of 50,000 simulated tournaments. How the simulator's numbers compared with the whole tournament.

Austria's matches at the 2026 World Cup. The last column is the 2026 simulator's chance, before the tournament, of the result that happened — in a knock-out match, of the side that went through doing so.
Date	Round	Opponent	Score	Chance beforehand
17 June	Group stage	Jordan	3–1	66%
22 June	Group stage	Argentina	0–2	73%
28 June	Group stage	Algeria	3–3	24%
2 July	Round of 32	Spain	0–3	82%

Play it out: take Austria through Europe's qualifying, or change their rating in the team editor and see what it takes.

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