Jordan and the 2030 World Cup

Ranked 72nd in the world, 10th in AFC. 35.4% to qualify in our simulations.

Updated 22 October 2026

72ndFIFA ranking, of 211

10thof 46 in AFC

1351rating points

67 / 61attack / defence, out of 100

35.4%qualify (simulated)

Chances at the 2030 World Cup

Jordan qualify in 35.4% of simulated campaigns — less often than not, but well within reach. The single most likely outcome is not qualifying (64.6% of cycles).

When they are at the finals, Jordan get out of their group 20.7% of the time; a quarter-final comes up in 0.1% of all cycles.

A 64-team World Cup would change the picture: with the extra places the simulator assumes for that format, Jordan qualify in 65.6% of campaigns instead of 35.4%.

Qualify35.4%
Round of 327.3%
Round of 161.4%
Quarter-finals0.1%
Semi-finals<0.1%
Final<0.1%
Champions0%

Share of 20,000 simulated cycles, from first qualifier to final, in which Jordan got at least this far. How the simulation works · All 211 nations

The route to the finals

Asia's qualifying has three rounds: two-legged ties for the lowest-ranked nations, then nine groups of four, then three groups of six from which eight teams qualify. Jordan come in at the second round, skipping the preliminary ties on the strength of their ranking.

There are 8 places for the 46 nations that have to qualify, plus one route through the inter-confederation play-off, where five teams from five confederations contest two more places on neutral ground.

AFC qualifying in full: format, what is official and every nation's odds.

How strong are they?

Jordan have 1350.88 points in the FIFA ranking published on 7 October 2026, which places them 72nd in the world and 10th of the 46 nations in Asia. The simulator uses that points total directly as the team's rating.

Their attack score is 67 and their defence score 61, on a scale of 1 to 100 built from the last 30 internationals. Attack and defence are closely matched, so the team's results follow its overall rating without leaning towards high- or low-scoring games.

What the match engine expects from Jordan in three fixtures, over ninety minutes.
Opponent	Fixture	Expected goals	Win	Draw	Lose
Oman	At home to the next side in the AFC ranking	1.69 – 1.08	50%	27%	23%
Japan	At home to AFC's highest-ranked side	0.72 – 2.21	10%	20%	70%
Spain	Against the top-ranked side from another confederation, on neutral ground	0.27 – 2.56	2%	12%	85%

Around them in AFC

Jordan and the nations ranked around them in AFC.
In AFC	Nation	FIFA rank	Points	Qualifies	Champion
7	Qatar	60	1416	64.0%	<0.1%
8	Iraq	63	1401	52.9%	<0.1%
9	United Arab Emirates	65	1377	51.4%	0%
10	Jordan	72	1351	35.4%	0%
11	Oman	81	1303	17.2%	0%
12	Syria	86	1280	17.3%	0%
13	Palestine	92	1254	12.0%	0%

Jordan at the World Cup

1World Cup played

Group stagebest finish

2026last World Cup

They have played at one World Cup, in 2026. They have yet to get past the group stage.

At the 2026 World Cup they went out in the group stage, with 0 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in 3 matches (goals 3–8). Before the tournament, the 2026 simulator had them getting out of their group in 19.2% of 50,000 simulated tournaments. How the simulator's numbers compared with the whole tournament.

Jordan's matches at the 2026 World Cup. The last column is the 2026 simulator's chance, before the tournament, of the result that happened — in a knock-out match, of the side that went through doing so.
Date	Round	Opponent	Score	Chance beforehand
17 June	Group stage	Austria	1–3	66%
23 June	Group stage	Algeria	1–2	63%
28 June	Group stage	Argentina	1–3	87%

Play it out: take Jordan through Asia's qualifying, or change their rating in the team editor and see what it takes.

Open the simulator