Denmark and the 2030 World Cup
Ranked 21st in the world, 12th in UEFA. 74.5% to qualify in our simulations.
Chances at the 2030 World Cup
Denmark qualify in 74.5% of simulated campaigns: more likely to be there than not, with little margin for a bad window. The single most likely outcome is going out in the round of 32 (34.0% of cycles).
When they are at the finals, Denmark get out of their group 83.4% of the time and win the tournament in 0.2% of all cycles.
A 64-team World Cup would change the picture: with the extra places the simulator assumes for that format, Denmark qualify in 82.6% of campaigns instead of 74.5%.
- Qualify74.5%
- Round of 3262.1%
- Round of 1628.2%
- Quarter-finals10.4%
- Semi-finals3.6%
- Final1.0%
- Champions0.2%
The route to the finals
Europe's qualifying is played in twelve groups: each group winner qualifies, and the eight best runners-up play off for the last two places. Denmark come in at the group stage.
There are 14 places for the 53 nations that have to qualify.
UEFA qualifying in full: format, what is official and every nation's odds.
How strong are they?
Denmark have 1619.62 points in the FIFA ranking published on 7 October 2026, which places them 21st in the world and 12th of the 55 nations in Europe. The simulator uses that points total directly as the team's rating.
Their attack score is 90 and their defence score 90, on a scale of 1 to 100 built from the last 30 internationals. Attack and defence are closely matched, so the team's results follow its overall rating without leaning towards high- or low-scoring games.
| Opponent | Fixture | Expected goals | Win | Draw | Lose |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Austria | At home to the next side in the UEFA ranking | 1.71 – 1.22 | 47% | 27% | 26% |
 Spain | At home to UEFA's highest-ranked side | 0.67 – 2.18 | 10% | 20% | 70% |
 Argentina | Against the top-ranked side from another confederation, on neutral ground | 0.66 – 2.19 | 9% | 20% | 71% |
Around them in UEFA
| In UEFA | Nation | FIFA rank | Points | Qualifies | Champion |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 |  Croatia |
14 | 1715 | 81.9% | 0.7% |
| 10 |  Italy |
15 | 1713 | 82.4% | 0.7% |
| 11 |  Norway |
19 | 1638 | 75.5% | 0.2% |
| 12 |  Denmark |
21 | 1620 | 74.5% | 0.2% |
| 13 | Austria |
22 | 1601 | 69.1% | <0.1% |
| 14 |  Türkiye |
31 | 1564 | 61.6% | <0.1% |
| 15 |  Sweden |
34 | 1544 | 34.2% | <0.1% |
Denmark at the World Cup
They have played at 6 World Cups, the first in 1986 and the most recent in 2022. Their best finish is the quarter-finals, in 1998. They did not qualify for the 2026 World Cup.
Play it out: take Denmark through Europe's qualifying, or change their rating in the team editor and see what it takes.
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