Honduras and the 2030 World Cup

Ranked 67th in the world, 6th in CONCACAF. 60.3% to qualify in our simulations.

Updated 22 October 2026

67thFIFA ranking, of 211

6thof 35 in CONCACAF

1375rating points

59 / 76attack / defence, out of 100

60.3%qualify (simulated)

Chances at the 2030 World Cup

Honduras qualify in 60.3% of simulated campaigns: more likely to be there than not, with little margin for a bad window. The single most likely outcome is going out in the group stage (46.5% of cycles).

When they are at the finals, Honduras get out of their group 22.8% of the time; a quarter-final comes up in 0.4% of all cycles.

A 64-team World Cup would change the picture: with the extra places the simulator assumes for that format, Honduras qualify in 85.4% of campaigns instead of 60.3%.

Qualify60.3%
Round of 3213.8%
Round of 162.6%
Quarter-finals0.4%
Semi-finals<0.1%
Final<0.1%
Champions0%

Share of 20,000 simulated cycles, from first qualifier to final, in which Honduras got at least this far. How the simulation works · All 211 nations

The route to the finals

Qualifying in North and Central America and the Caribbean has three rounds: two-legged ties for the lowest-ranked nations, then six groups of four, then a final round of three groups from which the top two in each qualify. Honduras come in at the second round, skipping the preliminary ties on the strength of their ranking.

There are 6 places for the 35 nations that have to qualify, plus one route through the inter-confederation play-off, where five teams from five confederations contest two more places on neutral ground. Honduras end up in that play-off in 13.2% of simulated campaigns.

CONCACAF qualifying in full: format, what is official and every nation's odds.

How strong are they?

Honduras have 1375.40 points in the FIFA ranking published on 7 October 2026, which places them 67th in the world and 6th of the 35 nations in North & Central America and the Caribbean. The simulator uses that points total directly as the team's rating.

Their attack score is 59 and their defence score 76, on a scale of 1 to 100 built from the last 30 internationals. The scores describe a side built on defence: fewer goals scored than its rating would suggest, and fewer conceded.

What the match engine expects from Honduras in three fixtures, over ninety minutes.
Opponent	Fixture	Expected goals	Win	Draw	Lose
Jamaica	At home to the next side in the CONCACAF ranking	1.51 – 1.17	44%	28%	28%
Mexico	At home to CONCACAF's highest-ranked side	0.65 – 2.13	10%	21%	70%
Spain	Against the top-ranked side from another confederation, on neutral ground	0.27 – 2.46	3%	13%	84%

Around them in CONCACAF

Honduras and the nations ranked around them in CONCACAF.
In CONCACAF	Nation	FIFA rank	Points	Qualifies	Champion
3	Canada	27	1575	95.8%	0.1%
4	Panama	46	1477	77.4%	<0.1%
5	Costa Rica	54	1445	75.7%	<0.1%
6	Honduras	67	1375	60.3%	0%
7	Jamaica	69	1362	41.6%	0%
8	Curaçao	80	1305	29.8%	0%
9	Haiti	84	1281	22.4%	0%

Honduras at the World Cup

3World Cups played

Group stagebest finish

2014last World Cup

They have played at 3 World Cups, the first in 1982 and the most recent in 2014. They have yet to get past the group stage. They have missed the last 3 World Cups.

Play it out: take Honduras through North America's qualifying, or change their rating in the team editor and see what it takes.

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