Trinidad and Tobago and the 2030 World Cup

Ranked 105th in the world, 12th in CONCACAF. 5.6% to qualify in our simulations.

Updated 22 October 2026

105thFIFA ranking, of 211

12thof 35 in CONCACAF

1199rating points

51 / 35attack / defence, out of 100

5.6%qualify (simulated)

Chances at the 2030 World Cup

Trinidad and Tobago qualify in 5.6% of simulated campaigns: outsiders, but with a route that opens up often enough to be worth playing for. The single most likely outcome is not qualifying (94.4% of cycles).

When they are at the finals, Trinidad and Tobago get out of their group 9.2% of the time.

A 64-team World Cup would change the picture: with the extra places the simulator assumes for that format, Trinidad and Tobago qualify in 15.8% of campaigns instead of 5.6%.

Qualify5.6%
Round of 320.5%
Round of 16<0.1%
Quarter-finals0%
Semi-finals0%
Final0%
Champions0%

Share of 20,000 simulated cycles, from first qualifier to final, in which Trinidad and Tobago got at least this far. How the simulation works · All 211 nations

The route to the finals

Qualifying in North and Central America and the Caribbean has three rounds: two-legged ties for the lowest-ranked nations, then six groups of four, then a final round of three groups from which the top two in each qualify. Trinidad and Tobago come in at the second round, skipping the preliminary ties on the strength of their ranking.

There are 6 places for the 35 nations that have to qualify, plus one route through the inter-confederation play-off, where five teams from five confederations contest two more places on neutral ground. Trinidad and Tobago end up in that play-off in 4.1% of simulated campaigns.

CONCACAF qualifying in full: format, what is official and every nation's odds.

How strong are they?

Trinidad and Tobago have 1198.85 points in the FIFA ranking published on 7 October 2026, which places them 105th in the world and 12th of the 35 nations in North & Central America and the Caribbean. The simulator uses that points total directly as the team's rating.

Their attack score is 51 and their defence score 35, on a scale of 1 to 100 built from the last 30 internationals. The scores describe a side that is better going forward than at the back, which in the model means higher-scoring games in both directions.

What the match engine expects from Trinidad and Tobago in three fixtures, over ninety minutes.
Opponent	Fixture	Expected goals	Win	Draw	Lose
Suriname	At home to the next side in the CONCACAF ranking	1.68 – 1.15	48%	27%	25%
Mexico	At home to CONCACAF's highest-ranked side	0.30 – 2.53	3%	13%	84%
Spain	Against the top-ranked side from another confederation, on neutral ground	0.25 – 2.75	2%	10%	88%

Around them in CONCACAF

Trinidad and Tobago and the nations ranked around them in CONCACAF.
In CONCACAF	Nation	FIFA rank	Points	Qualifies	Champion
9	Haiti	84	1281	22.4%	0%
10	Guatemala	95	1245	14.6%	0%
11	El Salvador	102	1212	6.4%	0%
12	Trinidad and Tobago	105	1199	5.6%	0%
13	Suriname	128	1138	1.9%	0%
14	Dominican Republic	135	1097	0.9%	0%
15	Nicaragua	137	1091	0.6%	0%

Trinidad and Tobago at the World Cup

1World Cup played

Group stagebest finish

2006last World Cup

They have played at one World Cup, in 2006. They have yet to get past the group stage. They have missed the last 5 World Cups.

Play it out: take Trinidad and Tobago through North America's qualifying, or change their rating in the team editor and see what it takes.

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