Suriname and the 2030 World Cup

Chances at the 2030 World Cup

Suriname qualify in 1.9% of simulated campaigns. They would need almost everything to go their way. The single most likely outcome is not qualifying (98.1% of cycles).

When they are at the finals, Suriname get out of their group 5.0% of the time; a quarter-final comes up in <0.1% of all cycles.

A 64-team World Cup would change the picture: with the extra places the simulator assumes for that format, Suriname qualify in 6.4% of campaigns instead of 1.9%.

Share of 20,000 simulated cycles, from first qualifier to final, in which Suriname got at least this far. How the simulation works · All 211 nations

The route to the finals

Qualifying in North and Central America and the Caribbean has three rounds: two-legged ties for the lowest-ranked nations, then six groups of four, then a final round of three groups from which the top two in each qualify. Suriname come in at the second round, skipping the preliminary ties on the strength of their ranking.

There are 6 places for the 35 nations that have to qualify, plus one route through the inter-confederation play-off, where five teams from five confederations contest two more places on neutral ground.

CONCACAF qualifying in full: format, what is official and every nation's odds.

How strong are they?

Suriname have 1138.46 points in the FIFA ranking published on 7 October 2026, which places them 128th in the world and 13th of the 35 nations in North & Central America and the Caribbean. The simulator uses that points total directly as the team's rating.

Their attack score is 53 and their defence score 50, on a scale of 1 to 100 built from the last 30 internationals. Attack and defence are closely matched, so the team's results follow its overall rating without leaning towards high- or low-scoring games.

Around them in CONCACAF

Suriname at the World Cup

They have never played at a World Cup finals.