Dominican Republic and the 2030 World Cup

Chances at the 2030 World Cup

Dominican Republic reach the World Cup in 0.9% of simulated campaigns — it happens, but it takes a run of results the model almost never produces. The single most likely outcome is not qualifying (99.1% of cycles).

A 64-team World Cup would change the picture: with the extra places the simulator assumes for that format, Dominican Republic qualify in 2.9% of campaigns instead of 0.9%.

Share of 20,000 simulated cycles, from first qualifier to final, in which Dominican Republic got at least this far. How the simulation works · All 211 nations

The route to the finals

Qualifying in North and Central America and the Caribbean has three rounds: two-legged ties for the lowest-ranked nations, then six groups of four, then a final round of three groups from which the top two in each qualify. Dominican Republic come in at the first round, the round for the confederation's lowest-ranked nations, and have to win a two-legged tie just to reach the groups.

There are 6 places for the 35 nations that have to qualify, plus one route through the inter-confederation play-off, where five teams from five confederations contest two more places on neutral ground.

CONCACAF qualifying in full: format, what is official and every nation's odds.

How strong are they?

Dominican Republic have 1096.58 points in the FIFA ranking published on 7 October 2026, which places them 135th in the world and 14th of the 35 nations in North & Central America and the Caribbean. The simulator uses that points total directly as the team's rating.

Their attack score is 58 and their defence score 36, on a scale of 1 to 100 built from the last 30 internationals. The scores describe a side that is better going forward than at the back, which in the model means higher-scoring games in both directions.

Around them in CONCACAF

Dominican Republic at the World Cup

They have never played at a World Cup finals.