Venezuela and the 2030 World Cup

Ranked 49th in the world, 7th in CONMEBOL. 31.4% to qualify in our simulations.

Updated 22 October 2026

49thFIFA ranking, of 211

7thof 10 in CONMEBOL

1466rating points

60 / 77attack / defence, out of 100

31.4%qualify (simulated)

Chances at the 2030 World Cup

Venezuela qualify in 31.4% of simulated campaigns — less often than not, but well within reach. The single most likely outcome is not qualifying (68.6% of cycles).

When they are at the finals, Venezuela get out of their group 44.7% of the time; a quarter-final comes up in 0.8% of all cycles.

A 64-team World Cup would change the picture: with the extra places the simulator assumes for that format, Venezuela qualify in 97.1% of campaigns instead of 31.4%.

Qualify31.4%
Round of 3214.0%
Round of 163.5%
Quarter-finals0.8%
Semi-finals0.2%
Final<0.1%
Champions0%

Share of 20,000 simulated cycles, from first qualifier to final, in which Venezuela got at least this far. How the simulation works · All 211 nations

The route to the finals

South America plays a single league of ten, home and away. With Argentina, Paraguay and Uruguay already in as centenary hosts, the top three of the other seven qualify and the fourth goes to the inter-confederation play-off. Venezuela play the full league.

There are 3 places for the 7 nations that have to qualify, plus one route through the inter-confederation play-off, where five teams from five confederations contest two more places on neutral ground. Venezuela end up in that play-off in 34.6% of simulated campaigns.

CONMEBOL qualifying in full: format, what is official and every nation's odds.

How strong are they?

Venezuela have 1465.87 points in the FIFA ranking published on 7 October 2026, which places them 49th in the world and 7th of the 10 nations in South America. The simulator uses that points total directly as the team's rating.

Their attack score is 60 and their defence score 77, on a scale of 1 to 100 built from the last 30 internationals. The scores describe a side built on defence: fewer goals scored than its rating would suggest, and fewer conceded.

What the match engine expects from Venezuela in three fixtures, over ninety minutes.
Opponent	Fixture	Expected goals	Win	Draw	Lose
Chile	At home to the next side in the CONMEBOL ranking	1.52 – 1.21	43%	28%	29%
Argentina	At home to CONMEBOL's highest-ranked side	0.32 – 2.37	3%	15%	82%
Spain	Against the top-ranked side from another confederation, on neutral ground	0.29 – 2.42	3%	14%	83%

Around them in CONMEBOL

Venezuela and the nations ranked around them in CONMEBOL.
In CONMEBOL	Nation	FIFA rank	Points	Qualifies	Champion
4	Uruguay Centenary host	20	1636	100%	0.3%
5	Ecuador	24	1587	83.0%	0.1%
6	Paraguay Centenary host	33	1552	100%	<0.1%
7	Venezuela	49	1466	31.4%	0%
8	Chile	50	1459	28.3%	0%
9	Peru	53	1451	17.6%	0%
10	Bolivia	78	1322	1.2%	0%

Venezuela at the World Cup

They have never played at a World Cup finals.

Play it out: take Venezuela through South America's qualifying, or change their rating in the team editor and see what it takes.

Open the simulator