Uruguay and the 2030 World Cup

Chances at the 2030 World Cup

Uruguay qualify automatically as hosts of one of the three centenary matches, and open their World Cup at home in Montevideo. The single most likely outcome is going out in the round of 32 (46.0% of cycles).

At the finals, Uruguay get out of their group 84.4% of the time and win the tournament in 0.3% of all cycles.

Share of 20,000 simulated cycles, from first qualifier to final, in which Uruguay got at least this far. How the simulation works · All 211 nations

How they got here

Uruguay have a place already, but South America's league is played by all ten nations and the simulator keeps them in it: their results count for everyone else, while they themselves cannot take one of the three qualifying places. At the finals they play their first group match at home in Montevideo and the rest in the host countries, on neutral ground.

CONMEBOL qualifying in full: format, what is official and every nation's odds.

How strong are they?

Uruguay have 1635.54 points in the FIFA ranking published on 7 October 2026, which places them 20th in the world and 4th of the 10 nations in South America. The simulator uses that points total directly as the team's rating.

Their attack score is 73 and their defence score 83, on a scale of 1 to 100 built from the last 30 internationals. The scores describe a side built on defence: fewer goals scored than its rating would suggest, and fewer conceded.

Around them in CONMEBOL

Uruguay at the World Cup

They have played at 15 World Cups, the first in 1930 and the most recent in 2026. They have won it twice: 1930 and 1950.

At the 2026 World Cup they went out in the group stage, with 0 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in 3 matches (goals 3–4). Before the tournament, the 2026 simulator had them getting out of their group in 91.5% of 50,000 simulated tournaments. How the simulator's numbers compared with the whole tournament.