Peru and the 2030 World Cup

Ranked 53rd in the world, 9th in CONMEBOL. 17.6% to qualify in our simulations.

Updated 22 October 2026

53rdFIFA ranking, of 211

9thof 10 in CONMEBOL

1451rating points

47 / 58attack / defence, out of 100

17.6%qualify (simulated)

Chances at the 2030 World Cup

Peru qualify in 17.6% of simulated campaigns: outsiders, but with a route that opens up often enough to be worth playing for. The single most likely outcome is not qualifying (82.4% of cycles).

When they are at the finals, Peru get out of their group 37.6% of the time; a quarter-final comes up in 0.3% of all cycles.

A 64-team World Cup would change the picture: with the extra places the simulator assumes for that format, Peru qualify in 94.4% of campaigns instead of 17.6%.

Qualify17.6%
Round of 326.6%
Round of 161.3%
Quarter-finals0.3%
Semi-finals<0.1%
Final<0.1%
Champions0%

Share of 20,000 simulated cycles, from first qualifier to final, in which Peru got at least this far. How the simulation works · All 211 nations

The route to the finals

South America plays a single league of ten, home and away. With Argentina, Paraguay and Uruguay already in as centenary hosts, the top three of the other seven qualify and the fourth goes to the inter-confederation play-off. Peru play the full league.

There are 3 places for the 7 nations that have to qualify, plus one route through the inter-confederation play-off, where five teams from five confederations contest two more places on neutral ground. Peru end up in that play-off in 22.0% of simulated campaigns.

CONMEBOL qualifying in full: format, what is official and every nation's odds.

How strong are they?

Peru have 1450.95 points in the FIFA ranking published on 7 October 2026, which places them 53rd in the world and 9th of the 10 nations in South America. The simulator uses that points total directly as the team's rating.

Their attack score is 47 and their defence score 58, on a scale of 1 to 100 built from the last 30 internationals. The scores describe a side built on defence: fewer goals scored than its rating would suggest, and fewer conceded.

What the match engine expects from Peru in three fixtures, over ninety minutes.
Opponent	Fixture	Expected goals	Win	Draw	Lose
Bolivia	At home to the next side in the CONMEBOL ranking	1.81 – 0.90	57%	25%	18%
Argentina	At home to CONMEBOL's highest-ranked side	0.30 – 2.49	3%	13%	84%
Spain	Against the top-ranked side from another confederation, on neutral ground	0.27 – 2.54	2%	13%	85%

Around them in CONMEBOL

Peru and the nations ranked around them in CONMEBOL.
In CONMEBOL	Nation	FIFA rank	Points	Qualifies	Champion
4	Uruguay Centenary host	20	1636	100%	0.3%
5	Ecuador	24	1587	83.0%	0.1%
6	Paraguay Centenary host	33	1552	100%	<0.1%
7	Venezuela	49	1466	31.4%	0%
8	Chile	50	1459	28.3%	0%
9	Peru	53	1451	17.6%	0%
10	Bolivia	78	1322	1.2%	0%

Peru at the World Cup

5World Cups played

Quarter-finalsbest finish · 1970, 1978

2018last World Cup

They have played at 5 World Cups, the first in 1930 and the most recent in 2018. Their best finish is the quarter-finals, in 1970 and 1978. They have missed the last 2 World Cups.

Play it out: take Peru through South America's qualifying, or change their rating in the team editor and see what it takes.

Open the simulator