Morocco and the 2030 World Cup

Ranked 7th in the world, 1st in CAF. Already qualified.

Updated 22 October 2026

7thFIFA ranking, of 211

1stof 54 in CAF

1805rating points

89 / 98attack / defence, out of 100

100%qualified as host

Chances at the 2030 World Cup

Morocco are one of the three host nations and qualify automatically. The single most likely outcome is going out in the round of 16 (30.3% of cycles).

At the finals, Morocco get out of their group 98.1% of the time and win the tournament in 3.5% of all cycles.

Qualify100%
Round of 3298.1%
Round of 1672.5%
Quarter-finals42.2%
Semi-finals17.9%
Final8.9%
Champions3.5%

Share of 20,000 simulated cycles, from first qualifier to final, in which Morocco got at least this far. How the simulation works · All 211 nations

How they got here

As a host, Morocco take one of CAF's places without playing a qualifier. In the simulator they sit qualifying out entirely and are seeded into one of the first three groups at the draw. They play all three group matches in their own country, with the home advantage that brings.

CAF qualifying in full: format, what is official and every nation's odds.

How strong are they?

Morocco have 1805.34 points in the FIFA ranking published on 7 October 2026, which places them 7th in the world and 1st of the 54 nations in Africa. The simulator uses that points total directly as the team's rating.

Their attack score is 89 and their defence score 98, on a scale of 1 to 100 built from the last 30 internationals. The scores describe a side built on defence: fewer goals scored than its rating would suggest, and fewer conceded.

What the match engine expects from Morocco in two fixtures, over ninety minutes.
Opponent	Fixture	Expected goals	Win	Draw	Lose
Senegal	At home to the next side in the CAF ranking	1.90 – 0.88	60%	24%	16%
Spain	Against the top-ranked side from another confederation, on neutral ground	0.88 – 1.92	16%	24%	60%

Around them in CAF

Morocco and the nations ranked around them in CAF.
In CAF	Nation	FIFA rank	Points	Qualifies	Champion
1	Morocco Host	7	1805	100%	3.5%
2	Senegal	18	1649	89.1%	0.4%
3	Egypt	25	1586	80.2%	<0.1%
4	Algeria	28	1575	82.0%	0.1%
5	Côte d'Ivoire	29	1569	80.7%	<0.1%
6	Nigeria	30	1568	80.4%	<0.1%
7	Congo DR	40	1506	69.2%	<0.1%

Morocco at the World Cup

7World Cups played

Fourth placebest finish · 2022

2026last World Cup

They have played at 7 World Cups, the first in 1970 and the most recent in 2026. Their best finish is fourth place, in 2022.

At the 2026 World Cup they reached the quarter-finals, with 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in 6 matches (goals 10–6). Before the tournament, the 2026 simulator had them reaching the quarter-finals in 38.8% of 50,000 simulated tournaments. How the simulator's numbers compared with the whole tournament.

Morocco's matches at the 2026 World Cup. The last column is the 2026 simulator's chance, before the tournament, of the result that happened — in a knock-out match, of the side that went through doing so.
Date	Round	Opponent	Score	Chance beforehand
13 June	Group stage	Brazil	1–1	24%
19 June	Group stage	Scotland	1–0	71%
24 June	Group stage	Haiti	4–2	87%
30 June	Round of 32	Netherlands	1–1 (3–2 pens)	51%
4 July	Round of 16	Canada	3–0	76%
9 July	Quarter-final	France	0–2	67%

Play it out: take Morocco through the finals, or change their rating in the team editor and see what it takes.

Open the simulator