Ghana and the 2030 World Cup

Ranked 70th in the world, 14th in CAF. 19.1% to qualify in our simulations.

Updated 22 October 2026

70thFIFA ranking, of 211

14thof 54 in CAF

1361rating points

51 / 68attack / defence, out of 100

19.1%qualify (simulated)

Chances at the 2030 World Cup

Ghana qualify in 19.1% of simulated campaigns: outsiders, but with a route that opens up often enough to be worth playing for. The single most likely outcome is not qualifying (80.9% of cycles).

When they are at the finals, Ghana get out of their group 21.7% of the time; a quarter-final comes up in <0.1% of all cycles.

A 64-team World Cup would change the picture: with the extra places the simulator assumes for that format, Ghana qualify in 25.1% of campaigns instead of 19.1%.

Qualify19.1%
Round of 324.1%
Round of 160.7%
Quarter-finals<0.1%
Semi-finals<0.1%
Final<0.1%
Champions0%

Share of 20,000 simulated cycles, from first qualifier to final, in which Ghana got at least this far. How the simulation works · All 211 nations

The route to the finals

Africa's qualifying is played in eight groups: only the group winners qualify, and the four best runners-up play off for a place in the inter-confederation play-off. Ghana come in at the group stage.

There are 8 places for the 53 nations that have to qualify, plus one route through the inter-confederation play-off, where five teams from five confederations contest two more places on neutral ground. Ghana end up in that play-off in 6.5% of simulated campaigns.

CAF qualifying in full: format, what is official and every nation's odds.

How strong are they?

Ghana have 1361.27 points in the FIFA ranking published on 7 October 2026, which places them 70th in the world and 14th of the 54 nations in Africa. The simulator uses that points total directly as the team's rating.

Their attack score is 51 and their defence score 68, on a scale of 1 to 100 built from the last 30 internationals. The scores describe a side built on defence: fewer goals scored than its rating would suggest, and fewer conceded.

What the match engine expects from Ghana in three fixtures, over ninety minutes.
Opponent	Fixture	Expected goals	Win	Draw	Lose
Guinea	At home to the next side in the CAF ranking	1.63 – 1.05	49%	27%	23%
Morocco	At home to CAF's highest-ranked side	0.56 – 2.30	7%	18%	75%
Spain	Against the top-ranked side from another confederation, on neutral ground	0.26 – 2.51	2%	13%	85%

Around them in CAF

Ghana and the nations ranked around them in CAF.
In CAF	Nation	FIFA rank	Points	Qualifies	Champion
11	Tunisia	61	1415	26.6%	0%
12	Burkina Faso	62	1408	26.5%	0%
13	Cabo Verde	68	1374	21.6%	0%
14	Ghana	70	1361	19.1%	0%
15	Guinea	82	1297	12.4%	0%
16	Angola	83	1282	12.3%	0%
17	Gabon	85	1280	12.3%	0%

Ghana at the World Cup

5World Cups played

Quarter-finalsbest finish · 2010

2026last World Cup

They have played at 5 World Cups, the first in 2006 and the most recent in 2026. Their best finish is the quarter-finals, in 2010.

At the 2026 World Cup they reached the round of 32, with 1 win, 1 draw and 2 defeats in 4 matches (goals 2–3). Before the tournament, the 2026 simulator had them reaching the round of 32 in 13.7% of 50,000 simulated tournaments. How the simulator's numbers compared with the whole tournament.

Ghana's matches at the 2026 World Cup. The last column is the 2026 simulator's chance, before the tournament, of the result that happened — in a knock-out match, of the side that went through doing so.
Date	Round	Opponent	Score	Chance beforehand
17 June	Group stage	Panama	1–0	16%
23 June	Group stage	England	0–0	10%
27 June	Group stage	Croatia	1–2	78%
4 July	Round of 32	Colombia	0–1	86%

Play it out: take Ghana through Africa's qualifying, or change their rating in the team editor and see what it takes.

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