Bolivia and the 2030 World Cup

Chances at the 2030 World Cup

Bolivia qualify in 1.2% of simulated campaigns. They would need almost everything to go their way. The single most likely outcome is not qualifying (98.8% of cycles).

When they are at the finals, Bolivia get out of their group 16.3% of the time; a quarter-final comes up in <0.1% of all cycles.

A 64-team World Cup would change the picture: with the extra places the simulator assumes for that format, Bolivia qualify in 51.9% of campaigns instead of 1.2%.

Share of 20,000 simulated cycles, from first qualifier to final, in which Bolivia got at least this far. How the simulation works · All 211 nations

The route to the finals

South America plays a single league of ten, home and away. With Argentina, Paraguay and Uruguay already in as centenary hosts, the top three of the other seven qualify and the fourth goes to the inter-confederation play-off. Bolivia play the full league.

There are 3 places for the 7 nations that have to qualify, plus one route through the inter-confederation play-off, where five teams from five confederations contest two more places on neutral ground. Bolivia end up in that play-off in 4.1% of simulated campaigns.

CONMEBOL qualifying in full: format, what is official and every nation's odds.

How strong are they?

Bolivia have 1322.19 points in the FIFA ranking published on 7 October 2026, which places them 78th in the world and 10th of the 10 nations in South America. The simulator uses that points total directly as the team's rating.

Their attack score is 42 and their defence score 51, on a scale of 1 to 100 built from the last 30 internationals. The scores describe a side built on defence: fewer goals scored than its rating would suggest, and fewer conceded.

Around them in CONMEBOL

Bolivia at the World Cup

They have played at 3 World Cups, the first in 1930 and the most recent in 1994. They have yet to get past the group stage. They have missed the last 8 World Cups.