30World Cup 2030 Simulator Play the simulator

Grenada and the 2030 World Cup

Ranked 169th in the world, 23rd in CONCACAF. <0.1% to qualify in our simulations.

Updated 22 October 2026

169thFIFA ranking, of 211
23rdof 35 in CONCACAF
968rating points
26 / 20attack / defence, out of 100
<0.1%qualify (simulated)

Chances at the 2030 World Cup

Grenada reach the World Cup in <0.1% of simulated campaigns — it happens, but it takes a run of results the model almost never produces. The single most likely outcome is not qualifying (>99.9% of cycles).

Share of 20,000 simulated cycles, from first qualifier to final, in which Grenada got at least this far. How the simulation works · All 211 nations

The route to the finals

Qualifying in North and Central America and the Caribbean has three rounds: two-legged ties for the lowest-ranked nations, then six groups of four, then a final round of three groups from which the top two in each qualify. Grenada come in at the first round, the round for the confederation's lowest-ranked nations, and have to win a two-legged tie just to reach the groups.

There are 6 places for the 35 nations that have to qualify, plus one route through the inter-confederation play-off, where five teams from five confederations contest two more places on neutral ground.

CONCACAF qualifying in full: format, what is official and every nation's odds.

How strong are they?

Grenada have 967.71 points in the FIFA ranking published on 7 October 2026, which places them 169th in the world and 23rd of the 35 nations in North & Central America and the Caribbean. The simulator uses that points total directly as the team's rating.

Their attack score is 26 and their defence score 20, on a scale of 1 to 100 built from the last 30 internationals. Attack and defence are closely matched, so the team's results follow its overall rating without leaning towards high- or low-scoring games.

What the match engine expects from Grenada in three fixtures, over ninety minutes.
OpponentFixtureExpected goalsWinDrawLose
BermudaAt home to the next side in the CONCACAF ranking 1.57 – 1.26 43%28%29%
MexicoAt home to CONCACAF's highest-ranked side 0.24 – 2.71 2%11%88%
SpainAgainst the top-ranked side from another confederation, on neutral ground 0.22 – 2.86 1%9%89%

Around them in CONCACAF

Grenada and the nations ranked around them in CONCACAF.
In CONCACAFNationFIFA rankPointsQualifiesChampion
20Cuba 163990 0.1%0%
21St. Lucia 165976 <0.1%0%
22St. Vincent / Grenadines 166975 <0.1%0%
23Grenada 169968 <0.1%0%
24Bermuda 171951 <0.1%0%
25Montserrat 172939 <0.1%0%
26Barbados 174935 <0.1%0%

Grenada at the World Cup

They have never played at a World Cup finals.

Play it out: take Grenada through North America's qualifying, or change their rating in the team editor and see what it takes.

Open the simulator