Cuba and the 2030 World Cup

Ranked 163rd in the world, 20th in CONCACAF. 0.1% to qualify in our simulations.

Updated 22 October 2026

163rdFIFA ranking, of 211

20thof 35 in CONCACAF

990rating points

43 / 37attack / defence, out of 100

0.1%qualify (simulated)

Chances at the 2030 World Cup

Cuba reach the World Cup in 0.1% of simulated campaigns — it happens, but it takes a run of results the model almost never produces. The single most likely outcome is not qualifying (99.9% of cycles).

Qualify0.1%
Round of 320%
Round of 160%
Quarter-finals0%
Semi-finals0%
Final0%
Champions0%

Share of 20,000 simulated cycles, from first qualifier to final, in which Cuba got at least this far. How the simulation works · All 211 nations

The route to the finals

Qualifying in North and Central America and the Caribbean has three rounds: two-legged ties for the lowest-ranked nations, then six groups of four, then a final round of three groups from which the top two in each qualify. Cuba come in at the first round, the round for the confederation's lowest-ranked nations, and have to win a two-legged tie just to reach the groups.

There are 6 places for the 35 nations that have to qualify, plus one route through the inter-confederation play-off, where five teams from five confederations contest two more places on neutral ground.

CONCACAF qualifying in full: format, what is official and every nation's odds.

How strong are they?

Cuba have 990.46 points in the FIFA ranking published on 7 October 2026, which places them 163rd in the world and 20th of the 35 nations in North & Central America and the Caribbean. The simulator uses that points total directly as the team's rating.

Their attack score is 43 and their defence score 37, on a scale of 1 to 100 built from the last 30 internationals. Attack and defence are closely matched, so the team's results follow its overall rating without leaning towards high- or low-scoring games.

What the match engine expects from Cuba in three fixtures, over ninety minutes.
Opponent	Fixture	Expected goals	Win	Draw	Lose
St. Lucia	At home to the next side in the CONCACAF ranking	1.65 – 1.21	46%	27%	27%
Mexico	At home to CONCACAF's highest-ranked side	0.25 – 2.61	2%	12%	86%
Spain	Against the top-ranked side from another confederation, on neutral ground	0.24 – 2.75	2%	10%	88%

Around them in CONCACAF

Cuba and the nations ranked around them in CONCACAF.
In CONCACAF	Nation	FIFA rank	Points	Qualifies	Champion
17	St. Kitts and Nevis	151	1041	0.3%	0%
18	Puerto Rico	155	1033	0.3%	0%
19	Antigua and Barbuda	162	993	<0.1%	0%
20	Cuba	163	990	0.1%	0%
21	St. Lucia	165	976	<0.1%	0%
22	St. Vincent / Grenadines	166	975	<0.1%	0%
23	Grenada	169	968	<0.1%	0%

Cuba at the World Cup

1World Cup played

Quarter-finalsbest finish · 1938

1938last World Cup

They have played at one World Cup, in 1938. Their best finish is the quarter-finals, in 1938. They have missed the last 20 World Cups.

Play it out: take Cuba through North America's qualifying, or change their rating in the team editor and see what it takes.

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