Greece and the 2030 World Cup

Chances at the 2030 World Cup

Greece qualify in 27.0% of simulated campaigns — less often than not, but well within reach. The single most likely outcome is not qualifying (73.0% of cycles).

When they are at the finals, Greece get out of their group 60.7% of the time and win the tournament in <0.1% of all cycles.

A 64-team World Cup would change the picture: with the extra places the simulator assumes for that format, Greece qualify in 37.2% of campaigns instead of 27.0%.

Share of 20,000 simulated cycles, from first qualifier to final, in which Greece got at least this far. How the simulation works · All 211 nations

The route to the finals

Europe's qualifying is played in twelve groups: each group winner qualifies, and the eight best runners-up play off for the last two places. Greece come in at the group stage.

There are 14 places for the 53 nations that have to qualify.

UEFA qualifying in full: format, what is official and every nation's odds.

How strong are they?

Greece have 1498.71 points in the FIFA ranking published on 7 October 2026, which places them 41st in the world and 21st of the 55 nations in Europe. The simulator uses that points total directly as the team's rating.

Their attack score is 78 and their defence score 84, on a scale of 1 to 100 built from the last 30 internationals. Attack and defence are closely matched, so the team's results follow its overall rating without leaning towards high- or low-scoring games.

Around them in UEFA

Greece at the World Cup

They have played at 3 World Cups, the first in 1994 and the most recent in 2014. Their best finish is the round of 16, in 2014. They have missed the last 3 World Cups.