Slovakia and the 2030 World Cup

Ranked 45th in the world, 24th in UEFA. 21.6% to qualify in our simulations.

Updated 22 October 2026

45thFIFA ranking, of 211

24thof 55 in UEFA

1477rating points

71 / 79attack / defence, out of 100

21.6%qualify (simulated)

Chances at the 2030 World Cup

Slovakia qualify in 21.6% of simulated campaigns: outsiders, but with a route that opens up often enough to be worth playing for. The single most likely outcome is not qualifying (78.4% of cycles).

When they are at the finals, Slovakia get out of their group 56.3% of the time and win the tournament in <0.1% of all cycles.

A 64-team World Cup would change the picture: with the extra places the simulator assumes for that format, Slovakia qualify in 30.8% of campaigns instead of 21.6%.

Qualify21.6%
Round of 3212.2%
Round of 163.4%
Quarter-finals0.9%
Semi-finals0.2%
Final<0.1%
Champions<0.1%

Share of 20,000 simulated cycles, from first qualifier to final, in which Slovakia got at least this far. How the simulation works · All 211 nations

The route to the finals

Europe's qualifying is played in twelve groups: each group winner qualifies, and the eight best runners-up play off for the last two places. Slovakia come in at the group stage.

There are 14 places for the 53 nations that have to qualify.

UEFA qualifying in full: format, what is official and every nation's odds.

How strong are they?

Slovakia have 1477.34 points in the FIFA ranking published on 7 October 2026, which places them 45th in the world and 24th of the 55 nations in Europe. The simulator uses that points total directly as the team's rating.

Their attack score is 71 and their defence score 79, on a scale of 1 to 100 built from the last 30 internationals. The scores describe a side built on defence: fewer goals scored than its rating would suggest, and fewer conceded.

What the match engine expects from Slovakia in three fixtures, over ninety minutes.
Opponent	Fixture	Expected goals	Win	Draw	Lose
Czechia	At home to the next side in the UEFA ranking	1.65 – 1.17	47%	27%	26%
Spain	At home to UEFA's highest-ranked side	0.31 – 2.37	3%	15%	82%
Argentina	Against the top-ranked side from another confederation, on neutral ground	0.31 – 2.38	3%	15%	82%

Around them in UEFA

Slovakia and the nations ranked around them in UEFA.
In UEFA	Nation	FIFA rank	Points	Qualifies	Champion
21	Greece	41	1499	27.0%	<0.1%
22	Scotland	43	1484	22.1%	0%
23	Serbia	44	1482	18.7%	0%
24	Slovakia	45	1477	21.6%	<0.1%
25	Czechia	51	1457	16.9%	<0.1%
26	Slovenia	52	1452	17.8%	0%
27	Republic of Ireland	56	1439	14.7%	<0.1%

Slovakia at the World Cup

9World Cups played

Runners-upbest finish · 1934, 1962

2010last World Cup

They have played at 9 World Cups, the first in 1934 and the most recent in 2010. Their best finish is a lost final, in 1934 and 1962. The figures include Czechoslovakia's eight appearances (1934–1990). They have missed the last 4 World Cups.

Play it out: take Slovakia through Europe's qualifying, or change their rating in the team editor and see what it takes.

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