30World Cup 2030 Simulator Play the simulator

Tanzania and the 2030 World Cup

Ranked 115th in the world, 30th in CAF. 2.0% to qualify in our simulations.

Updated 22 October 2026

115thFIFA ranking, of 211
30thof 54 in CAF
1167rating points
34 / 45attack / defence, out of 100
2.0%qualify (simulated)

Chances at the 2030 World Cup

Tanzania qualify in 2.0% of simulated campaigns. They would need almost everything to go their way. The single most likely outcome is not qualifying (98.0% of cycles).

When they are at the finals, Tanzania get out of their group 7.3% of the time.

A 64-team World Cup would change the picture: with the extra places the simulator assumes for that format, Tanzania qualify in 7.2% of campaigns instead of 2.0%.

Share of 20,000 simulated cycles, from first qualifier to final, in which Tanzania got at least this far. How the simulation works · All 211 nations

The route to the finals

Africa's qualifying is played in eight groups: only the group winners qualify, and the four best runners-up play off for a place in the inter-confederation play-off. Tanzania come in at the group stage.

There are 8 places for the 53 nations that have to qualify, plus one route through the inter-confederation play-off, where five teams from five confederations contest two more places on neutral ground.

CAF qualifying in full: format, what is official and every nation's odds.

How strong are they?

Tanzania have 1166.82 points in the FIFA ranking published on 7 October 2026, which places them 115th in the world and 30th of the 54 nations in Africa. The simulator uses that points total directly as the team's rating.

Their attack score is 34 and their defence score 45, on a scale of 1 to 100 built from the last 30 internationals. The scores describe a side built on defence: fewer goals scored than its rating would suggest, and fewer conceded.

What the match engine expects from Tanzania in three fixtures, over ninety minutes.
OpponentFixtureExpected goalsWinDrawLose
SudanAt home to the next side in the CAF ranking 1.43 – 1.17 42%29%29%
MoroccoAt home to CAF's highest-ranked side 0.26 – 2.56 2%12%86%
SpainAgainst the top-ranked side from another confederation, on neutral ground 0.23 – 2.69 2%11%87%

Around them in CAF

Tanzania and the nations ranked around them in CAF.
In CAFNationFIFA rankPointsQualifiesChampion
27Niger 1111173 2.3%0%
28Libya 1131169 2.4%0%
29Kenya 1141169 2.3%0%
30Tanzania 1151167 2.0%0%
31Sudan 1181157 1.9%0%
32Rwanda 1191156 2.2%0%
33Togo 1201153 1.8%0%

Tanzania at the World Cup

They have never played at a World Cup finals.

Play it out: take Tanzania through Africa's qualifying, or change their rating in the team editor and see what it takes.

Open the simulator