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Niger and the 2030 World Cup

Ranked 111th in the world, 27th in CAF. 2.3% to qualify in our simulations.

Updated 22 October 2026

111thFIFA ranking, of 211
27thof 54 in CAF
1173rating points
42 / 43attack / defence, out of 100
2.3%qualify (simulated)

Chances at the 2030 World Cup

Niger qualify in 2.3% of simulated campaigns. They would need almost everything to go their way. The single most likely outcome is not qualifying (97.7% of cycles).

When they are at the finals, Niger get out of their group 7.0% of the time.

A 64-team World Cup would change the picture: with the extra places the simulator assumes for that format, Niger qualify in 7.4% of campaigns instead of 2.3%.

Share of 20,000 simulated cycles, from first qualifier to final, in which Niger got at least this far. How the simulation works · All 211 nations

The route to the finals

Africa's qualifying is played in eight groups: only the group winners qualify, and the four best runners-up play off for a place in the inter-confederation play-off. Niger come in at the group stage.

There are 8 places for the 53 nations that have to qualify, plus one route through the inter-confederation play-off, where five teams from five confederations contest two more places on neutral ground.

CAF qualifying in full: format, what is official and every nation's odds.

How strong are they?

Niger have 1172.93 points in the FIFA ranking published on 7 October 2026, which places them 111th in the world and 27th of the 54 nations in Africa. The simulator uses that points total directly as the team's rating.

Their attack score is 42 and their defence score 43, on a scale of 1 to 100 built from the last 30 internationals. Attack and defence are closely matched, so the team's results follow its overall rating without leaning towards high- or low-scoring games.

What the match engine expects from Niger in three fixtures, over ninety minutes.
OpponentFixtureExpected goalsWinDrawLose
LibyaAt home to the next side in the CAF ranking 1.47 – 1.23 41%28%30%
MoroccoAt home to CAF's highest-ranked side 0.27 – 2.57 2%12%85%
SpainAgainst the top-ranked side from another confederation, on neutral ground 0.24 – 2.70 2%11%87%

Around them in CAF

Niger and the nations ranked around them in CAF.
In CAFNationFIFA rankPointsQualifiesChampion
24Comoros 1071192 3.8%0%
25The Gambia 1091183 3.7%0%
26Mauritania 1101176 2.5%0%
27Niger 1111173 2.3%0%
28Libya 1131169 2.4%0%
29Kenya 1141169 2.3%0%
30Tanzania 1151167 2.0%0%

Niger at the World Cup

They have never played at a World Cup finals.

Play it out: take Niger through Africa's qualifying, or change their rating in the team editor and see what it takes.

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