Togo and the 2030 World Cup
Ranked 120th in the world, 33rd in CAF. 1.8% to qualify in our simulations.
Chances at the 2030 World Cup
Togo qualify in 1.8% of simulated campaigns. They would need almost everything to go their way. The single most likely outcome is not qualifying (98.2% of cycles).
When they are at the finals, Togo get out of their group 6.0% of the time.
A 64-team World Cup would change the picture: with the extra places the simulator assumes for that format, Togo qualify in 7.2% of campaigns instead of 1.8%.
- Qualify1.8%
- Round of 320.1%
- Round of 16<0.1%
- Quarter-finals0%
- Semi-finals0%
- Final0%
- Champions0%
The route to the finals
Africa's qualifying is played in eight groups: only the group winners qualify, and the four best runners-up play off for a place in the inter-confederation play-off. Togo come in at the group stage.
There are 8 places for the 53 nations that have to qualify, plus one route through the inter-confederation play-off, where five teams from five confederations contest two more places on neutral ground.
CAF qualifying in full: format, what is official and every nation's odds.
How strong are they?
Togo have 1153.04 points in the FIFA ranking published on 7 October 2026, which places them 120th in the world and 33rd of the 54 nations in Africa. The simulator uses that points total directly as the team's rating.
Their attack score is 43 and their defence score 51, on a scale of 1 to 100 built from the last 30 internationals. The scores describe a side built on defence: fewer goals scored than its rating would suggest, and fewer conceded.
| Opponent | Fixture | Expected goals | Win | Draw | Lose |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At home to the next side in the CAF ranking | 1.48 – 1.15 | 43% | 29% | 28% | |
| At home to CAF's highest-ranked side | 0.26 – 2.53 | 2% | 13% | 85% | |
| Against the top-ranked side from another confederation, on neutral ground | 0.24 – 2.65 | 2% | 11% | 87% |
Around them in CAF
| In CAF | Nation | FIFA rank | Points | Qualifies | Champion |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 115 | 1167 | 2.0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 118 | 1157 | 1.9% | 0% | |
| 32 | 119 | 1156 | 2.2% | 0% | |
| 33 | 120 | 1153 | 1.8% | 0% | |
| 34 | 123 | 1146 | 1.8% | 0% | |
| 35 | 124 | 1144 | 2.1% | 0% | |
| 36 | 129 | 1128 | 1.7% | 0% |
Togo at the World Cup
They have played at one World Cup, in 2006. They have yet to get past the group stage. They have missed the last 5 World Cups.
Play it out: take Togo through Africa's qualifying, or change their rating in the team editor and see what it takes.
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