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Togo and the 2030 World Cup

Ranked 120th in the world, 33rd in CAF. 1.8% to qualify in our simulations.

Updated 22 October 2026

120thFIFA ranking, of 211
33rdof 54 in CAF
1153rating points
43 / 51attack / defence, out of 100
1.8%qualify (simulated)

Chances at the 2030 World Cup

Togo qualify in 1.8% of simulated campaigns. They would need almost everything to go their way. The single most likely outcome is not qualifying (98.2% of cycles).

When they are at the finals, Togo get out of their group 6.0% of the time.

A 64-team World Cup would change the picture: with the extra places the simulator assumes for that format, Togo qualify in 7.2% of campaigns instead of 1.8%.

Share of 20,000 simulated cycles, from first qualifier to final, in which Togo got at least this far. How the simulation works · All 211 nations

The route to the finals

Africa's qualifying is played in eight groups: only the group winners qualify, and the four best runners-up play off for a place in the inter-confederation play-off. Togo come in at the group stage.

There are 8 places for the 53 nations that have to qualify, plus one route through the inter-confederation play-off, where five teams from five confederations contest two more places on neutral ground.

CAF qualifying in full: format, what is official and every nation's odds.

How strong are they?

Togo have 1153.04 points in the FIFA ranking published on 7 October 2026, which places them 120th in the world and 33rd of the 54 nations in Africa. The simulator uses that points total directly as the team's rating.

Their attack score is 43 and their defence score 51, on a scale of 1 to 100 built from the last 30 internationals. The scores describe a side built on defence: fewer goals scored than its rating would suggest, and fewer conceded.

What the match engine expects from Togo in three fixtures, over ninety minutes.
OpponentFixtureExpected goalsWinDrawLose
NamibiaAt home to the next side in the CAF ranking 1.48 – 1.15 43%29%28%
MoroccoAt home to CAF's highest-ranked side 0.26 – 2.53 2%13%85%
SpainAgainst the top-ranked side from another confederation, on neutral ground 0.24 – 2.65 2%11%87%

Around them in CAF

Togo and the nations ranked around them in CAF.
In CAFNationFIFA rankPointsQualifiesChampion
30Tanzania 1151167 2.0%0%
31Sudan 1181157 1.9%0%
32Rwanda 1191156 2.2%0%
33Togo 1201153 1.8%0%
34Namibia 1231146 1.8%0%
35Guinea-Bissau 1241144 2.1%0%
36Zimbabwe 1291128 1.7%0%

Togo at the World Cup

1World Cup played
Group stagebest finish
2006last World Cup

They have played at one World Cup, in 2006. They have yet to get past the group stage. They have missed the last 5 World Cups.

Play it out: take Togo through Africa's qualifying, or change their rating in the team editor and see what it takes.

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