Antigua and Barbuda and the 2030 World Cup

Ranked 162nd in the world, 19th in CONCACAF. <0.1% to qualify in our simulations.

Updated 22 October 2026

162ndFIFA ranking, of 211

19thof 35 in CONCACAF

993rating points

34 / 27attack / defence, out of 100

<0.1%qualify (simulated)

Chances at the 2030 World Cup

Antigua and Barbuda reach the World Cup in <0.1% of simulated campaigns — it happens, but it takes a run of results the model almost never produces. The single most likely outcome is not qualifying (>99.9% of cycles).

Qualify<0.1%
Round of 32<0.1%
Round of 160%
Quarter-finals0%
Semi-finals0%
Final0%
Champions0%

Share of 20,000 simulated cycles, from first qualifier to final, in which Antigua and Barbuda got at least this far. How the simulation works · All 211 nations

The route to the finals

Qualifying in North and Central America and the Caribbean has three rounds: two-legged ties for the lowest-ranked nations, then six groups of four, then a final round of three groups from which the top two in each qualify. Antigua and Barbuda come in at the first round, the round for the confederation's lowest-ranked nations, and have to win a two-legged tie just to reach the groups.

There are 6 places for the 35 nations that have to qualify, plus one route through the inter-confederation play-off, where five teams from five confederations contest two more places on neutral ground.

CONCACAF qualifying in full: format, what is official and every nation's odds.

How strong are they?

Antigua and Barbuda have 992.54 points in the FIFA ranking published on 7 October 2026, which places them 162nd in the world and 19th of the 35 nations in North & Central America and the Caribbean. The simulator uses that points total directly as the team's rating.

Their attack score is 34 and their defence score 27, on a scale of 1 to 100 built from the last 30 internationals. Attack and defence are closely matched, so the team's results follow its overall rating without leaning towards high- or low-scoring games.

What the match engine expects from Antigua and Barbuda in three fixtures, over ninety minutes.
Opponent	Fixture	Expected goals	Win	Draw	Lose
Cuba	At home to the next side in the CONCACAF ranking	1.50 – 1.29	41%	28%	31%
Mexico	At home to CONCACAF's highest-ranked side	0.25 – 2.66	2%	11%	87%
Spain	Against the top-ranked side from another confederation, on neutral ground	0.23 – 2.81	2%	10%	89%

Around them in CONCACAF

Antigua and Barbuda and the nations ranked around them in CONCACAF.
In CONCACAF	Nation	FIFA rank	Points	Qualifies	Champion
16	Guyana	142	1071	0.6%	0%
17	St. Kitts and Nevis	151	1041	0.3%	0%
18	Puerto Rico	155	1033	0.3%	0%
19	Antigua and Barbuda	162	993	<0.1%	0%
20	Cuba	163	990	0.1%	0%
21	St. Lucia	165	976	<0.1%	0%
22	St. Vincent / Grenadines	166	975	<0.1%	0%

Antigua and Barbuda at the World Cup

They have never played at a World Cup finals.

Play it out: take Antigua and Barbuda through North America's qualifying, or change their rating in the team editor and see what it takes.

Open the simulator