Will Cayman Islands make the 2030 World Cup? Route and chances

Cayman Islands and the 2030 World Cup

Ranked 198th in the world, 30th in CONCACAF. 0% to qualify in our simulations.

Updated 22 October 2026

198thFIFA ranking, of 211

30thof 35 in CONCACAF

836rating points

7 / 21attack / defence, out of 100

0%qualify (simulated)

Chances at the 2030 World Cup

Cayman Islands did not reach the World Cup in any of our 20,000 simulated qualifying campaigns.

Qualify0%

Round of 320%

Round of 160%

Quarter-finals0%

Semi-finals0%

Final0%

Champions0%

Share of 20,000 simulated cycles, from first qualifier to final, in which Cayman Islands got at least this far. How the simulation works · All 211 nations

The route to the finals

Qualifying in North and Central America and the Caribbean has three rounds: two-legged ties for the lowest-ranked nations, then six groups of four, then a final round of three groups from which the top two in each qualify. Cayman Islands come in at the first round, the round for the confederation's lowest-ranked nations, and have to win a two-legged tie just to reach the groups.

There are 6 places for the 35 nations that have to qualify, plus one route through the inter-confederation play-off, where five teams from five confederations contest two more places on neutral ground.

CONCACAF qualifying in full: format, what is official and every nation's odds.

How strong are they?

Cayman Islands have 836.15 points in the FIFA ranking published on 7 October 2026, which places them 198th in the world and 30th of the 35 nations in North & Central America and the Caribbean. The simulator uses that points total directly as the team's rating.

Their attack score is 7 and their defence score 21, on a scale of 1 to 100 built from the last 30 internationals. The scores describe a side built on defence: fewer goals scored than its rating would suggest, and fewer conceded.

What the match engine expects from Cayman Islands in three fixtures, over ninety minutes.
Opponent	Fixture	Expected goals	Win	Draw	Lose
Turks and Caicos Islands	At home to the next side in the CONCACAF ranking	1.51 – 1.15	44%	28%	28%
Mexico	At home to CONCACAF's highest-ranked side	0.22 – 2.72	2%	10%	88%
Spain	Against the top-ranked side from another confederation, on neutral ground	0.21 – 2.86	1%	9%	89%

Around them in CONCACAF

Cayman Islands and the nations ranked around them in CONCACAF.
In CONCACAF	Nation	FIFA rank	Points	Qualifies	Champion
27	Belize	180	900	<0.1%	0%
28	Aruba	185	890	<0.1%	0%
29	Dominica	186	885	0%	0%
30	Cayman Islands	198	836	0%	0%
31	Turks and Caicos Islands	204	806	0%	0%
32	US Virgin Islands	206	795	0%	0%
33	Bahamas	208	772	0%	0%

Cayman Islands at the World Cup

They have never played at a World Cup finals.

Play it out: take Cayman Islands through North America's qualifying, or change their rating in the team editor and see what it takes.

Open the simulator