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Dominica and the 2030 World Cup

Ranked 186th in the world, 29th in CONCACAF. 0% to qualify in our simulations.

Updated 22 October 2026

186thFIFA ranking, of 211
29thof 35 in CONCACAF
885rating points
16 / 22attack / defence, out of 100
0%qualify (simulated)

Chances at the 2030 World Cup

Dominica did not reach the World Cup in any of our 20,000 simulated qualifying campaigns.

Share of 20,000 simulated cycles, from first qualifier to final, in which Dominica got at least this far. How the simulation works · All 211 nations

The route to the finals

Qualifying in North and Central America and the Caribbean has three rounds: two-legged ties for the lowest-ranked nations, then six groups of four, then a final round of three groups from which the top two in each qualify. Dominica come in at the first round, the round for the confederation's lowest-ranked nations, and have to win a two-legged tie just to reach the groups.

There are 6 places for the 35 nations that have to qualify, plus one route through the inter-confederation play-off, where five teams from five confederations contest two more places on neutral ground.

CONCACAF qualifying in full: format, what is official and every nation's odds.

How strong are they?

Dominica have 884.58 points in the FIFA ranking published on 7 October 2026, which places them 186th in the world and 29th of the 35 nations in North & Central America and the Caribbean. The simulator uses that points total directly as the team's rating.

Their attack score is 16 and their defence score 22, on a scale of 1 to 100 built from the last 30 internationals. Attack and defence are closely matched, so the team's results follow its overall rating without leaning towards high- or low-scoring games.

What the match engine expects from Dominica in three fixtures, over ninety minutes.
OpponentFixtureExpected goalsWinDrawLose
Cayman IslandsAt home to the next side in the CONCACAF ranking 1.58 – 1.05 48%28%24%
MexicoAt home to CONCACAF's highest-ranked side 0.22 – 2.71 2%11%88%
SpainAgainst the top-ranked side from another confederation, on neutral ground 0.21 – 2.85 1%9%89%

Around them in CONCACAF

Dominica and the nations ranked around them in CONCACAF.
In CONCACAFNationFIFA rankPointsQualifiesChampion
26Barbados 174935 <0.1%0%
27Belize 180900 <0.1%0%
28Aruba 185890 <0.1%0%
29Dominica 186885 0%0%
30Cayman Islands 198836 0%0%
31Turks and Caicos Islands 204806 0%0%
32US Virgin Islands 206795 0%0%

Dominica at the World Cup

They have never played at a World Cup finals.

Play it out: take Dominica through North America's qualifying, or change their rating in the team editor and see what it takes.

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