Will Congo make the 2030 World Cup? 0.8% to qualify, <0.1% to win

Congo and the 2030 World Cup

Ranked 132nd in the world, 39th in CAF. 0.8% to qualify in our simulations.

Updated 22 October 2026

132ndFIFA ranking, of 211

39thof 54 in CAF

1102rating points

32 / 28attack / defence, out of 100

0.8%qualify (simulated)

Chances at the 2030 World Cup

Congo reach the World Cup in 0.8% of simulated campaigns — it happens, but it takes a run of results the model almost never produces. The single most likely outcome is not qualifying (99.2% of cycles).

Qualify0.8%

Round of 32<0.1%

Round of 16<0.1%

Quarter-finals0%

Semi-finals0%

Final0%

Champions0%

Share of 20,000 simulated cycles, from first qualifier to final, in which Congo got at least this far. How the simulation works · All 211 nations

The route to the finals

Africa's qualifying is played in eight groups: only the group winners qualify, and the four best runners-up play off for a place in the inter-confederation play-off. Congo come in at the group stage.

There are 8 places for the 53 nations that have to qualify, plus one route through the inter-confederation play-off, where five teams from five confederations contest two more places on neutral ground.

CAF qualifying in full: format, what is official and every nation's odds.

How strong are they?

Congo have 1102.46 points in the FIFA ranking published on 7 October 2026, which places them 132nd in the world and 39th of the 54 nations in Africa. The simulator uses that points total directly as the team's rating.

Their attack score is 32 and their defence score 28, on a scale of 1 to 100 built from the last 30 internationals. Attack and defence are closely matched, so the team's results follow its overall rating without leaning towards high- or low-scoring games.

What the match engine expects from Congo in three fixtures, over ninety minutes.
Opponent	Fixture	Expected goals	Win	Draw	Lose
Burundi	At home to the next side in the CAF ranking	1.54 – 1.22	43%	28%	29%
Morocco	At home to CAF's highest-ranked side	0.25 – 2.68	2%	11%	87%
Spain	Against the top-ranked side from another confederation, on neutral ground	0.23 – 2.80	2%	10%	89%

Around them in CAF

Congo and the nations ranked around them in CAF.
In CAF	Nation	FIFA rank	Points	Qualifies	Champion
36	Zimbabwe	129	1128	1.7%	0%
37	Sierra Leone	130	1123	1.3%	0%
38	Malawi	131	1122	1.4%	0%
39	Congo	132	1102	0.8%	0%
40	Burundi	140	1077	0.8%	0%
41	Botswana	141	1074	0.6%	0%
42	Central African Republic	145	1065	0.3%	0%

Congo at the World Cup

They have never played at a World Cup finals.

Play it out: take Congo through Africa's qualifying, or change their rating in the team editor and see what it takes.

Open the simulator