Will Djibouti make the 2030 World Cup? Route and chances

Djibouti and the 2030 World Cup

Ranked 195th in the world, 52nd in CAF. 0% to qualify in our simulations.

Updated 22 October 2026

195thFIFA ranking, of 211

52ndof 54 in CAF

854rating points

12 / 12attack / defence, out of 100

0%qualify (simulated)

Chances at the 2030 World Cup

Djibouti did not reach the World Cup in any of our 20,000 simulated qualifying campaigns.

Qualify0%

Round of 320%

Round of 160%

Quarter-finals0%

Semi-finals0%

Final0%

Champions0%

Share of 20,000 simulated cycles, from first qualifier to final, in which Djibouti got at least this far. How the simulation works · All 211 nations

The route to the finals

Africa's qualifying is played in eight groups: only the group winners qualify, and the four best runners-up play off for a place in the inter-confederation play-off. Djibouti come in at the group stage.

There are 8 places for the 53 nations that have to qualify, plus one route through the inter-confederation play-off, where five teams from five confederations contest two more places on neutral ground.

CAF qualifying in full: format, what is official and every nation's odds.

How strong are they?

Djibouti have 853.58 points in the FIFA ranking published on 7 October 2026, which places them 195th in the world and 52nd of the 54 nations in Africa. The simulator uses that points total directly as the team's rating.

Their attack score is 12 and their defence score 12, on a scale of 1 to 100 built from the last 30 internationals. Attack and defence are closely matched, so the team's results follow its overall rating without leaning towards high- or low-scoring games.

What the match engine expects from Djibouti in three fixtures, over ninety minutes.
Opponent	Fixture	Expected goals	Win	Draw	Lose
Somalia	At home to the next side in the CAF ranking	1.47 – 1.13	43%	29%	28%
Morocco	At home to CAF's highest-ranked side	0.22 – 2.82	1%	10%	89%
Spain	Against the top-ranked side from another confederation, on neutral ground	0.21 – 2.92	1%	9%	90%

Around them in CAF

Djibouti and the nations ranked around them in CAF.
In CAF	Nation	FIFA rank	Points	Qualifies	Champion
48	Mauritius	179	906	<0.1%	0%
49	Chad	181	897	<0.1%	0%
50	Eritrea	183	891	<0.1%	0%
51	São Tomé and Príncipe	194	855	<0.1%	0%
52	Djibouti	195	854	0%	0%
53	Somalia	200	832	<0.1%	0%
54	Seychelles	205	796	0%	0%

Djibouti at the World Cup

They have never played at a World Cup finals.

Play it out: take Djibouti through Africa's qualifying, or change their rating in the team editor and see what it takes.

Open the simulator