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Nepal and the 2030 World Cup

Ranked 178th in the world, 36th in AFC. 0% to qualify in our simulations.

Updated 22 October 2026

178thFIFA ranking, of 211
36thof 46 in AFC
915rating points
17 / 21attack / defence, out of 100
0%qualify (simulated)

Chances at the 2030 World Cup

Nepal did not reach the World Cup in any of our 20,000 simulated qualifying campaigns.

Share of 20,000 simulated cycles, from first qualifier to final, in which Nepal got at least this far. How the simulation works · All 211 nations

The route to the finals

Asia's qualifying has three rounds: two-legged ties for the lowest-ranked nations, then nine groups of four, then three groups of six from which eight teams qualify. Nepal come in at the first round, the round for the confederation's lowest-ranked nations, and have to win a two-legged tie just to reach the groups.

There are 8 places for the 46 nations that have to qualify, plus one route through the inter-confederation play-off, where five teams from five confederations contest two more places on neutral ground.

AFC qualifying in full: format, what is official and every nation's odds.

How strong are they?

Nepal have 914.54 points in the FIFA ranking published on 7 October 2026, which places them 178th in the world and 36th of the 46 nations in Asia. The simulator uses that points total directly as the team's rating.

Their attack score is 17 and their defence score 21, on a scale of 1 to 100 built from the last 30 internationals. Attack and defence are closely matched, so the team's results follow its overall rating without leaning towards high- or low-scoring games.

What the match engine expects from Nepal in three fixtures, over ninety minutes.
OpponentFixtureExpected goalsWinDrawLose
BangladeshAt home to the next side in the AFC ranking 1.51 – 1.18 43%28%28%
JapanAt home to AFC's highest-ranked side 0.23 – 2.76 2%10%88%
SpainAgainst the top-ranked side from another confederation, on neutral ground 0.22 – 2.86 1%9%89%

Around them in AFC

Nepal and the nations ranked around them in AFC.
In AFCNationFIFA rankPointsQualifiesChampion
33Maldives 173936 0%0%
34Chinese Taipei 176924 0%0%
35Cambodia 177921 0%0%
36Nepal 178915 0%0%
37Bangladesh 182893 0%0%
38Sri Lanka 184891 0%0%
39Laos 188880 0%0%

Nepal at the World Cup

They have never played at a World Cup finals.

Play it out: take Nepal through Asia's qualifying, or change their rating in the team editor and see what it takes.

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