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Mongolia and the 2030 World Cup

Ranked 190th in the world, 40th in AFC. 0% to qualify in our simulations.

Updated 22 October 2026

190thFIFA ranking, of 211
40thof 46 in AFC
874rating points
13 / 10attack / defence, out of 100
0%qualify (simulated)

Chances at the 2030 World Cup

Mongolia did not reach the World Cup in any of our 20,000 simulated qualifying campaigns.

Share of 20,000 simulated cycles, from first qualifier to final, in which Mongolia got at least this far. How the simulation works · All 211 nations

The route to the finals

Asia's qualifying has three rounds: two-legged ties for the lowest-ranked nations, then nine groups of four, then three groups of six from which eight teams qualify. Mongolia come in at the first round, the round for the confederation's lowest-ranked nations, and have to win a two-legged tie just to reach the groups.

There are 8 places for the 46 nations that have to qualify, plus one route through the inter-confederation play-off, where five teams from five confederations contest two more places on neutral ground.

AFC qualifying in full: format, what is official and every nation's odds.

How strong are they?

Mongolia have 874.47 points in the FIFA ranking published on 7 October 2026, which places them 190th in the world and 40th of the 46 nations in Asia. The simulator uses that points total directly as the team's rating.

Their attack score is 13 and their defence score 10, on a scale of 1 to 100 built from the last 30 internationals. Attack and defence are closely matched, so the team's results follow its overall rating without leaning towards high- or low-scoring games.

What the match engine expects from Mongolia in three fixtures, over ninety minutes.
OpponentFixtureExpected goalsWinDrawLose
BhutanAt home to the next side in the AFC ranking 1.49 – 1.20 42%28%29%
JapanAt home to AFC's highest-ranked side 0.23 – 2.83 2%10%89%
SpainAgainst the top-ranked side from another confederation, on neutral ground 0.21 – 2.93 1%9%90%

Around them in AFC

Mongolia and the nations ranked around them in AFC.
In AFCNationFIFA rankPointsQualifiesChampion
37Bangladesh 182893 0%0%
38Sri Lanka 184891 0%0%
39Laos 188880 0%0%
40Mongolia 190874 0%0%
41Bhutan 192871 0%0%
42Macau, China 193858 0%0%
43Brunei 196850 0%0%

Mongolia at the World Cup

They have never played at a World Cup finals.

Play it out: take Mongolia through Asia's qualifying, or change their rating in the team editor and see what it takes.

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